MAIN WEBSITE: Dont forget. Expect a few rainy days but usually not more than 3. Officially, 7.41" of rain was recorded at the International airport which ranks, in the 128 year climatic record period (1895-2022) for Tucson, as the 13th driest year on record. Nine Ways To Tell The Difference. That means that La Nina is NOT controlling the current weather pattern for the season thus far. Geiger explained that the almanacs predictions come from a formula created by the first editor of the publication, who was a mathematician and an astronomer. How do you feel about the upcoming milder, drier (especially drier than this last monsoon season, hoo boy) winter we might have? There were 23 days in which the daily low temperature was in the 80s. PHOENIX It's a wet start to 2022 across Arizona! With record to near-record heat blistering Colorado on Monday, you might think the smoke in the air is from a Colorado wildfire. There are indications that weak cutoff systems under the raging jet could bring more precipitation to Tucson than say even Phoenix, but the amount just doesnt look so high, but bears watching for that area sometime mid-month. It's not . On average, the Tucson airport records two days with thunderstorms. According to The Farmer's Almanac, Arizona's 2021-2022 winter season will bring along a "polar coaster" with temperature swings lasting well into March of 2022. 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec December Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun 1 +68 +59 2 +68 +55 3 +61 +59 4 +64 +61 5 +66 +55 6 +66 +52 7 +64 The last March to record above normal rainfall was in 2004 when 1.12" was recorded. However, January should at least be somewhat colder than usual from parts of Washington state and northern Idaho to the northern Plains, much of the Midwest and interior Northeast into northern New England. The combined two-day rainfall totals for New Year's Eve/Day across the metro area ranged from 0.50" to 1.50" with the bulk of the rain occurring on New Year's Eve. Much of the nation's midsection, including the Mississippi Valley, northern Gulf Coast, Florida and the West Coast, should be near or slightly warmer than average in December. No matter how you like your winter, youre sure to find it in Arizona. Copyright TWC Product and Technology LLC 2014, 2023. Learn everything you need to know about the Grand Canyon State's ever-changing forecasts here. June climate data across southeast Arizona, Summer climate data across southeast Arizona. The Tucson International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded 1.27" which is around a third of an inch above normal and ranks as the 37th wettest December on record. Combined with last years August average temperature being 1.2 below normal, this is the first back-to-back Augusts since 2005-06 to be below normal. Two-thirds of climatological Fall is in the books and 2022 ranks as the 15th warmest & 56th driest on record with one month left to go. No blocking means that we will continue to get the colder air out of the west in both regions of Southern California and Arizona, but it also means much drier conditions. December 2021 Weather Pattern Forecast Outlook For Southern California; December Arctic Blasts and Storms, FACEBOOK PAGES TO JOIN! Yuck. This ranks as the 55th wettestOctober on record, tied with 1941. (100 percent delivery time) This ranks as the 13th driest Fall on record. The seasonal average dew point value was 19. Winter could pound the Northeast with a vengeance starting in mid-December before potentially intensifying in January,. A high minimum temperature of 59 on the 4th broke the old warm low for the date of 56 from 1946. An very odd quirk happened this November when you compare the daily highs this year versus last year. Weather; Archive; Weather Widget F. Which City Is the Worst for Fall Allergies This Year? Mostly cloudy. Heading into the last month of the 2022 Monsoon the September monthly outlook, issued by the Climate Prediction Center, called for "leaning above normal" for precipitation and temperature. Winter in Arizona is always a mixed bag. March 2023; April 2023; May 2023; June 2023; July 2023; August 2023 . But there is a new ocean anomaly emerging that will also play its part. Take control of your data. Rainfall amounts, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, varied widely across the metro area with totals ranging from 0.20" to 1.75" with localized higher amounts to 2.50". Monsoon 2022 ended up warmer than normal with an average season temperature of 87.2 which is nine-tenths of a degree above normal. NWS Tucson Arizona520 North Park Ave, Suite 304Tucson, AZ 85719(520) 670-6526Comments? Discover our growing collection of curated stories on Washington State. The last day of 2022 was dry with afternoon temperatures in the upper 60's to lower 70's. Dry and warmer temperatures were on tap from the 17th to the 22nd. For the first Summer since 2010 & the sixth time since 1980, there were no record highs set or tied at the airport. The snowpack in the Upper Colorado River Basin was at 133 percent of the 30-year historical average as of Monday, and sits at 101 percent of what the basin has received on average through an . This is tied with 2008 for the lowest Spring average dating back to 1946. Temperatures: Below Average, Arizona You'll receive your first newsletter soon! In a couple of words: its nice! In December, the best chance of at least somewhat colder than usual temperatures is expected in the East, from the Great Lakes to the Northeast and mid-Atlantic states. Coming off one of the WETTEST years on record in 2021 where the airport recorded 15.19", the outlook called for enhanced probabilities for below normal rainfall through the Spring season then equal chances for below, near or above normal rainfall for the remainder of the year. RELATED: Heat-related deaths hit historic high in 2021. The Climate Prediction Center (CPC) forecasts enhanced probabilities for above normal temperatures for the entire year. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 35% chance that they will end up above normal and a 32% chance that they will end up below normal. In northern Arizona, its snowy and chilly, though usually still quite dry. One daily temperature record was set. Precipitation: Equal chances use the map provided below. Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 77 on the 7th to a low of 31 on the 2nd. The 1981-2010 climate normal period was used from the late 2011 to early 2021. This is the highest wind gust, tied with August 11, 1995, to be recorded at the airport in the past 50 years. This is the 7th June on record in which the monthly low temperature did not fall below 65. Rainfall amounts, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, were mostly less than a tenth an inch /0.10"/ with localized totals up to a third of an inch /0.33"/, especially near Vail and on the northwest side of the metro area. CLIMAS_report_2022_final.pdf Southwest Climate Outlook October 2022 Looking ahead into February The Climate Prediction Center forecasts a 47% chance of above normal temperatures and a 45% chance of below normal precipitation. The temperatures in Arizona in February are comfortable with low of 11 C and and high up to 21 C.. It ended being the coolest Fall since 2006. One month remains in climatological Winter and so far it has been warmer (55.7 or +2.3) and slightly drier (1.62" or -0.18") than normal. While this isn't always the case every time La Nia is present, it is representative of the average impacts. Even as we swelter through the last stretch of summer's "dog days," the upcoming winter outlooks for the 2022-2023 season from the Farmers' Almanac and The Old Farmer's Almanac are enough to send shivers down one's spine. Apr. Our forecasts are not direct predictions of rain/snow. "The eruption of Tonga back in January will likely not cool the climate, given it was an underwater volcano that ejected water vapor, rather than particulates, into the stratosphere; on the contrary, given water vapor is a greenhouse gas, it may have a warming impact on the climate over the next few years," Crawford explained. It's also the ninth time February this century that the average monthly temperature was below normal. Long-Range Weather Forecast 2023 for Places in Arizona Ajo, AZ Apache Junction, AZ Arizona City, AZ Avondale, AZ Avra Valley, AZ Benson, AZ Big Park, AZ Bisbee, AZ Buckeye, AZ Bullhead City, AZ Camp Verde, AZ Casa Grande, AZ Casas Adobes, AZ Catalina, AZ Catalina Foothills, AZ Cave Creek, Maricopa County, AZ Chandler, AZ Chinle, AZ Chino Valley, AZ Published: Aug. 10, 2022 at 5:21 PM PDT (Gray News) - The Farmers' Almanac is predicting a frigid winter for most of us here in the U.S., along with brisk temperatures. WARNING: Long-range forecasts are rarely accurate. Here are some of the monthly temperature highlights during 2022: A total of sixteen daily record temperatures were set or tied during 2022. No matter which part of Arizona youre from (or plan to visit), winter is a great time to arrive. Our weather forecast can give you a great sense of what weather to expect in Arizona in February 2024.. Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 100 on the 26th to a low of 39 on the 13th. We start off the new year here with the January 2022 forecast. Click Here To Join The Page Today. If you are NOT receiving the e-mails and are a full member, your account is either expired or you need to troubleshoot. If you hear rain or anything is coming to the area. Combined with last years August total of 3.85", this is the first back-to-back Augusts since 2005-06 to be above normal. Expect snowy days, but not as many as we usually see (which isn't great for this whole drought situation we're in). All NOAA. The states climate is varied and unique, featuring many different biomes and environments. 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec December I think we do a pretty good job, Geiger said. Essentially, the formula uses sunspot activity andthe effect the moon has on the earth to be able to predict weather about two years in advance. On your streaming device:Download 12News+ to your streaming device. KNXV According to the CPC, there is a 66% chance that. 3rd Coldest January- February on Record in 2021. Rainfall amounts, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, has varied widely across the metro area. Rainfall amounts, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, ranged from 0.75" to 2.50". January 2, 2022 at 7:59 am January 2022 Weather Pattern Forecast For Arizona; Opposite of December 2021, But Colder by Weather Welcome back to the site after the holiday week. Two were for record highs and three were for record warm low temperatures and all of them occurred in December. The Official NOAA Winter Outlook for 2022-2023 has been released and as of right now the odds are slightly tilted towards below normal precipitation and above normal temperatures for the desert. Kristin Murphy, Deseret News Flannel, hot chocolate and snowshoes are in the winter forecast from the Farmers' Almanac, which is predicting a shivery 2022-2023 winter for most of the United States. He also said that in its more than 200 years of printing, only seven people have done the weather, with each working for about 30 or 40 years andthey have applied that sameformula. The Climate Assessment for the Southwest (CLIMAS), a well-established and innovative inter- and transdisciplinary climate research team, is looking for a Program Manager to join our team. For us across the Southwest, La Nia typically brings drier-than-normal conditions during the winter. Welcome back to the site after the holiday week. During 2020,2021 and the first half of 2022 . We start off the new year here with the January 2022 forecast. The average yearly temperature is below normal for the calendar year through the end of March for the first time since 2017 and the fourth time this century (2001 & 2013). Precipitation across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, ranged from 1.75" to 4.00" with the highest totals occurring north of Tangerine Road extending east from Dove Mountain in Marana to the northern part of Oro Valley. February climate data and outlook across southeast Arizona. Severe thunderstorms hit portions on the metro area on the 21st and 26th. The weather in Arizona in January is good. To troubleshoot, here is the link to get situated. The December 2021 forecast went exactly as thought, word for word in both regions. The last time back-to-back Octobers' were BELOW normal was back in the 1980's when there was a string of SEVEN straight BELOW normal Octobers' from 1980 to 1986. The average yearly temperature, through the end of September, of 74.7 is 1.1 above normal and ranks as the 6th warmest on record, tied with 2016. Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 95 on the 26th to a low of 33 on the 8th. Only In Your State reported that the state will be seeing some insane polar temperature swings this winter. You can go traditional with it and check out some truly delightful Christmas towns in Arizona, or you can rent a cabin in the woods and forget about life for a while as you watch snow gently fall. Visit the Farmers Almanac website or Facebook page to learn more about the forecast. Overall, the almanac says it will be wetter than normal, the precipitation beginning in October and extending right through November. NWS There were nine daily lows that were 80 or warmer. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 44% chance that they will end up above normal and a 23% chance that they will end up below normal. READ MORE Monday, March 28, 2022 Flagstaff Weather -- March 28, 2022 Here in the Valley, showers will be off and on throughout overnight. Detailed Phoenix Weather Forecast for November 2022 - day/night temperatures, precipitations - World-Weather.info. According to the CPC, there is a tendency for back-to-back La Nia winters which increases forecaster confidence in the probability that this coming winter will indeed be another La Nia winter. BOOKMARK THE MAIN WEBSITE BY CLICKING HERE. A high minimum temperature of 75 on the 27th set a new daily record, eclipsing the old record of 73 from 1963 & 1989. Thanks to the new warmer 30-year climate normals, which went into effect last year, the average yearly temperature this year through the end of March is below normal although it was warmer than two years ago (56.8 vs 56.5). Get Downloadable Images and More Here. One record temperature was set during the month. So, what about this month? The water year is well below normal since October 1st at 2.26" which ranks as the 9th driest water year to date with three months left in the water year calendar. Rainfall at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, of 0.90" is just over 2" below normal and ranks as the 7th driest January through June period on record. What is the chance of rain in Arizona in January? The newest edition of the 230-year-old series projects the 2021-22 winter as a particularly cold one, dubbing it the "season of shivers." The almanac's editor, Janice Stillman, says it could even . Example video title will go here for this video, Getting Reel | Ranking Marvel Phase 4 Movies. Includes Daily Risk of Precipitation, High/Low/Average Temperatures, Heating/Cooling Degree Days and Growing Degree Days, Transition Day Start or End of a Risky Period. This update comes as Arizona sits deep in drought. (Weather station: Payson, USA). Five record high minimum (low) temperatures were set or tied during the month. In northern Arizona, its snowy and chilly, though usually still quite dry. 2023 www.azcentral.com. The Spring seasonal forecast for the area, issued February 17th, called for a 46% chance of above normal temperatures & a 42% chance of below normal precipitation. This is the most of any calendar month thus far in the 21st century. The monthly average temperature of 54.3 is almost two degrees below normal and ranks as the 59th warmest February on record. This is in sharp contrast to the previous water year which was rather wet with the airport recording 14.23". Click Here To Join The Season Tier, Join The Main Arizona Weather Force Facebook Group (50 percent delivery time) You can join the main AZWF page as well through that group. However, if it does rain/snow during the month, expect most of it to occur on higher risk days. Geiger said the almanac predicts snow this winter in northern Arizona between Nov. 20 and 23, and snow in higher elevation areas would continue into early December. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded 2.82" which is just over eight-tenths of an inch above normal and ranks as the 34th wettest August on record. The drought classification for the area degraded to D2 (Severe Drought) during May. One exception was the pandemic year of 2020, when travel all but came to a. Areas from the Gulf Coast to the Southern Plains and mountain West are most favored to see above-average temperatures for the entire three-month winter period from December through February, according to an outlook released Thursday by The Weather Company, an IBM Business, and Atmospheric G2. Weather in Phoenix in December 2022 (Arizona) - Detailed Weather Forecast for a Month World United States Arizona Weather in Phoenix Weather in Phoenix in December 2022 Phoenix Weather Forecast for December 2022 is based on statistical data. The monthly average temperature of 71.8 is just under four degrees above normal and ranks as the 4th warmest April on record. It will modify the jet stream pattern over North America and the Pacific Ocean, extending its reach to the rest of the world. However there were isolated spots that recorded up to a three-quarters of an inch /0.75"/. Temperature extremes ranged from a high of 105 on May 15th to a low of 33 on March 8th. The first five months were rather dry with the airport only recording 0.67" or 2" below normal. Rainfall amounts across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, ranged widely from 0.10" to 0.75 ". There should be no reason you shouldnt be informed. Amounts ranged from 4" to 9" with localized higher amounts up to 14". Since we never quite know what to expect, this upcoming season couldn't possibly catch us off-guard right? Friday, April 08, 2022 Flagstaff Weather -- April 8, 2022 Student forecaster Julia Castro has the latest on the weekend weather in northern Arizona. For an oddity record, the eight days with a high of 99 is the most on record for the month of August & any calendar month dating back to 1895. Multiple locations were found. Snowfall will be below normal in most areas that normally receive snow, with the snowiest periods in early to mid-January and early February.