In the wake of the January 6th attack on the Capitol, academics and journalists have increasingly taken the possibility of future political violence in America seriously. Politics Podcast: Could Nikki Haley Actually Win The GOP Nomination? 0:00:00 Democratic representative from California Adam Schiff discusses why he thinks American democracy is in trouble, which he lays out in his new book "Midnight In Washington: How We Almost Lost Our Democracy And Still Could.". If we said there was a 70 percent chance a candidate would win a race, did that actually happen 70 percent of the time? Accuracy is not guaranteed. The crew speaks with professors Jane Junn and Karthick Ramakrishnan about the context of the Atlanta attacks and how Asian-American political participation has evolved in recent decades. Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss why live caller surveys are no longer the gold standard in polling and what it means for the future of the industry. They also analyze a new poll from the University of New Hampshire that shows the states likely GOP primary voters favoring Florida Gov. The crew discusses the races to watch in Tuesday night's primaries in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Idaho, Oregon and Kentucky. They play a game of "Guess What Americans Think," in which the panelists have to guess Americans' opinions on a wide variety of topics, including Elon Musk, inflation and Britney Spears. It was the biggest shift of any demographic group between the two presidential elections and led to some speculation about a possible realignment. As we head into the new year and our attention begins to turn to the presidential primaries, we decided to reair our audio documentary series, The Primaries Project. Jury Duty: Who Gets Called, And Who Actually Serves | WUNC He has also reported audio documentaries at FiveThirtyEight, including the monthslong series "The Gerrymandering Project." His work has been heard on NPR, WNYC, On The Media, CBC, Wisconsin Public Radio and the University of Cambridge's ELECTION podcast. . Were still waiting to find out what the deal is, but this focus on slow moving objects in U.S. airspace was kicked off by a Chinese spy balloon that the U.S. shot down earlier this month. BOLIVAR The executive director of the Stark-Tuscarawas-Wayne Joint Solid Waste Management District is going to resign from the position and will then be rehired. As the House Select Committee for Jan. 6 publishes its final report, the crew considers what the committee's impact has been on American politics and former President Donald Trump's standing with voters. The majority of the coverage did not show signs of bias, such as articles on immigration, midterm elections and the Jan. 6 hearings. Atlantic writer Emma Green joins to talk about her recent article, "The Liberals Who Can't Quit Lockdown.". Will Democrats Rally Behind President Biden In 2024? Maybe its time to get rid of election polls. They also explain why a dramatic shift among independent women in a recent New York Times poll shouldn't be taken at face value but also shouldn't undercut the poll. Mona Chalabi of FiveThirtyEight.com joins NPR's Rachel Martin for a look at who those people are. The crew discusses what's in the "Freedom to Vote: John R. Lewis Act" and why Senate Democrats have taken it up despite unmoving opposition. They also debate the usefulness of new polling on Americans superhero preferences by partisanship and preview the upcoming Jan. 6 hearings. With two new hosts, Anjali and Prateek, the second season of The Big Story will feature longer and well-rounded discussions with experts across science, culture, technology, politics, and more. In this late night edition of the podcast, the crew covers both the results of the Ohio Senate primary and the leaked draft opinion from the Supreme Court that would overturn Roe v. Wade. I'm Galen Truk. The Gerrymandering Project: California | FiveThirtyEight Politics The crew runs down a list of theories in a game of Buy, Sell, or Hold to discuss what evidence, if any, supports some of these arguments. With the data from the most recent term in hand, the crew discusses how far to the right the Supreme Court has gone. They also consider the causes of hyperinflation, as Democrats and Republicans blame different culprits for the highest rate of inflation in 40 years. Later, Monica Potts joins to discuss why voters sometimes contradict their partisan beliefs on ballot measures. Most recently, he ran and hosted 30 for 30 Podcasts, part of ESPN Films. Stark-Tuscarawas-Wayne waste district director to retire, come back at They also debate how reliable exit polls are in determining what motivates voters and consider how Democrats were able to overcome intra-party disagreements to pass a $1 trillion infrastructure bill. FiveThirtyEight Politics The Gerrymandering Project: California . The Sporkful on Stitcher ( Businessweek) They also scrutinize a new survey that suggests most Americans think "The West Wing" and other political TV shows are reflective of how politics works. Americans Like Bidens Student Debt Forgiveness Plan. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. It was a fiendishly clever and massively hyped invention. Labor Day traditionally marks the time when general election campaigning truly ramps up summer vacation is over, TV ads flood the airways and pollsters switch their models from registered voters to likely voters. FiveThirtyEight Politics (podcast) - FiveThirtyEight, 538, ABC News During a punchy episode of FiveThirtyEight's now daily politics podcast on Wednesday, Silver pushed back forcefully on anyone out there accusing him or his website of getting the 2020 election. The crew also discusses how Americans are responding to the administrations handling of the end of the war. The crew talks about why President Biden's approval is underwater, what the consequences are for Democrats and what they can do about it. How To Create A Podcast Transcript - The Ultimate Guide Just another site fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. Politics Podcast - FiveThirtyEight President Bidens $2 trillion social spending and climate change agenda is in its most tenuous position yet after West Virginia Sen. Joe Manchin announced that he will not support the Build Back Better Plan. They also consider whether a new poll showing that America's reputation has rebounded abroad is a good or bad use of polling. The crew breaks down Rep. Liz Cheney's loss, what comes next, and who's currently up and down in Alaska. Two days after Election Day, control of the U.S. House and Senate still hangs in the balance as votes are tallied in the Western states. The board of directors voted Friday to accept the resignation of David Held, effective June 1, and will then offer him the same job on . This Day In Esoteric Political History Radiotopia The Supreme Court is probably the most recognizable example, but its not the only one. The crew discusses what these results mean for the midterms this fall and where other indicators of the political environment are pointing. Nate and Galen answer listener questions in this installment of Model Talk. Senior writer and legal reporter Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux discusses how the Justices approached the question and what Americans think about abortion policy. Why Valentina Shevchenko Is A Huge Favorite And Jon Jones Isn't At The crew discusses how a bipartisan gun control deal was reached and if this unwritten legislation could be passed by the end of the year. They also consider whether abortion as an issue will motivate voters in other elections this fall and look at the primary winners in Arizona, Missouri, Michigan and Washington. 91.5 Chapel Hill 88.9 Manteo 90.9 Rocky Mount 91.1 Welcome 91.9 Fayetteville 90.5 Buxton 94.1 Lumberton 99.9 Southern Pines Commentators and politicos have given lots of hot takes on why Democrats did so poorly in Tuesday's election and what it portends for the 2022 midterms. Democrat Melanie Stansbury won a special election in New Mexico's first congressional district by a 25-point margin last Tuesday, performing better than Democrats did in the district in 2020. In this installment, the crew plays a game of midterm trivia and analyzes the press coverage surrounding the latest decline in life expectancy. FiveThirtyEight's political content often includes fact-driven statistical analysis. FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast Feb. 21, 2023 Politics Podcast: Some Republicans Are Souring On Aid To Ukraine Feb. 16, 2023 Nikki Haley Has Tough Competition In Trump And DeSantis By Galen. This week Nikki Haley became the first major candidate to challenge former President Donald Trump in the 2024 Republican presidential primary. It was a night of firsts, with the first primaries of 2022 taking place in Texas and President Bidens first real State of the Union speech. New York City-based political reporters Gloria Pazmino and Erin Durkin discuss the current lay of the land in the Democratic mayoral primary and the issues that are motivating voters with less than a month until the election. The crew looks at how some of the most competitive primaries in 2022 are shaping up. In this show, Jody Avirgan, Nicole Hemmer and Kellie Carter Jackson (and guests) take one moment, big or small, from that day in U.S. political history and explore how it might inform our present -- all in about fifteen minutes. They also introduce a new FiveThirtyEight collaboration with Ipsos aimed at polling Americans about the issues they care most about in the run up to the midterms. They also discuss moderate Senate Democrats' push to amend some of the provisions in the American Rescue plan and look at the politics and science behind the push to loosen covid-19 restrictions in states. Serial's new true-crime podcast, The Coldest Case in Laramie, revisits a 1985 murder. The crew discusses potential sticking points in the Democrats' infrastructure plan and debates whether it should be considered bipartisan if a sizable portion of Republican voters support it, but Republican lawmakers do not. This is the final episode. Legal scholar Kate Shaw also digs into some of the specifics of the terms major cases, particularly on election law. His new book is called "The Engagement: Americas Quarter-Century Struggle Over Same-Sex Marriage.". fivethirtyeight podcast transcriptsapplications of stepper motor ppt. They also assess how polls performed in 2019 and 2020 in general, with the benefit of hindsight and updated pollster ratings. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. They also cover the redistricting process happening around the country after a number of big recent developments. In her new book, Limitless: The Federal Reserve Takes On A New Age Of Crisis, New York Times reporter Jeanna Smialek focuses on another unelected institution with a lot of power over American life: the Federal Reserve. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. The crew looks to the speeches from the past weekend's Conservative Political Action Conference for indications about where the Republican party is headed. The crew discusses which states will determine the balance of both chambers and what theyve learned from this election so far. The episode tracks the 14 days from the murder of the president to when the Johnsons move into the White House, days filled with tragic ceremony and heartfelt moments of solidarity between Jackie Kennedy and Lady Bird. They also review Democrats agenda for the current lame duck session in Congress and hold their first post-midterm 2024 Democratic primary draft. What role do Liz Cheney-type Republicans have to play in the future of the GOP (if any)? Overall, more moderate candidates were able to win against challengers from the Right and Left flank of both parties, although there was a sizable protest vote in some instances. Americans' political views oftentimes don't align neatly with a single party, but instead draw on both conservative and liberal positions. The Supreme Court Not So Much. They also discuss how the country has changed demographically and geographically over the past decade, based on the newly released 2020 census data. Podcast Transcripts of FiveThirtyEight | Happy Scribe Perry Bacon Jr. speaks with Galen Druke about his recent reporting on the kinds of ideas that have gained currency on the Left and how the Right has responded. The first half of this episode originally aired on November 5, 2018, and was produced by Dan Pashman, Anne Saini, and Aviva DeKornfeld, with editing by Gianna Palmer and mixing by Dan Dzula. The crew tries to rank the electoral significance of some of the biggest stories in the news right now. In Matthew Continetti's new book, The Right: The Hundred Year War For American Conservatism, he argues that in order to understand where the right is heading, you have to understand where it's been. They also analyze the court's other recent rulings on gun restrictions and school prayer and preview some of Tuesday's biggest primary elections. They also look at the politics of two hot button issues in the Senate and speak with Carlos Odio of Equis Research about how Latino voters are viewing the two parties in 2022. Preview of Spotify. Since then, the FiveThirtyEight blog has covered a broad spectrum of subjects including politics, sports, science, economics, and popular culture. It originally aired at the beginning of 2020 and across three episodes we looked at how our presidential primary system came to be, its consequences and how it could be different. Progressive Democrats have struggled to break through in one of the most high-profile elections of the year: the Democratic primary for New York City mayor. Instagram did not return a 200. The crew discusses what legal debates are currently playing out, what the decision could mean for the future of Roe v. Wade, and where Americans stand on abortion restrictions in general. The crew discusses what comes next in Democrats' attempt to pass election reforms, after their proposals hit roadblocks in the Senate. Tuesday night was a test for some big names in the Republican Party in Wyoming and Alaska. A bipartisan coalition of ten senators, with the support of President Biden, announced a $600 billion infrastructure plan last week. Galen and Nate discuss the reasons for Republicans' improvement in the forecast. Why 10 Republicans Voted For Impeachment 300 views about 2 years ago 34:52 How did the polling averages and seat-gain projections compare with the actual results? Good Sport TED Audio Collective Sports Requires subscription and macOS 11.4 or higher 28 FEB 2023 As the 2022 primaries begin in earnest and potential presidential candidates look ahead to 2024, the fight over the future of the political right is underway. More Information Location: United States Genres: News & Politics Podcasts Politics News Networks: ABC News (US) Description: Happy holidays! Its a bold suggestion, and in this installment of the podcast we interrogate it. Welcome to Internet Archive TV News! apache saddles amarillo texas shockwave treatment for gallstones in the philippines price The crew discusses what high gas prices have meant for politics historically and outline the debates in Washington over how to bring those prices down.